By Nco Dube | 20 June 2025

The recent revelation by former MKP Secretary General Floyd Shivambu, who claims he was sacked on the basis of a fake intelligence report, is neither new nor surprising in the context of South Africa’s post-apartheid political landscape. Instead, it is the latest in a long line of controversies where unverified intelligence reports have been deployed as weapons in intra-party feuds, factional battles, and the broader contest for power often with former president Jacob Zuma at the centre. 

This article delves into the roots, mechanisms, and consequences of this phenomenon, examining how the manipulation of intelligence has shaped our political culture and why it continues to thrive.

A History of Bogus Intelligence Reports

The use of intelligence reports real, doctored, or entirely fabricated, as tools for political ends is deeply embedded in South Africa’s recent history. The so-called “BROWSE Mole Report” is a prime example: a controversial document that allegedly implicated various political figures and was used as justification for decisive political actions, despite its questionable provenance. 

This was not an isolated incident. Throughout Zuma’s presidency and beyond, a series of unverified intelligence reports have surfaced, each conveniently appearing at moments of heightened political tension, often to the detriment of Zuma’s rivals or critics.

These reports have not only been used to discredit opponents but have also served as pretexts for removals, suspensions, and even criminal investigations. The pattern is clear: intelligence, or at least the suggestion of it, becomes a bludgeon in the hands of those seeking to manipulate outcomes within the African National Congress (ANC) (or its offshoots like the EFF and the MKP) and the state at large.

Another one of the most infamous cases was the so-called “Operation Check Mate” intelligence report. In March 2017, then-President Jacob Zuma abruptly instructed Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan to cancel an international investor roadshow and return to South Africa. 

The only explanation offered was an “intelligence report” alleging that Gordhan was plotting with foreign interests in the UK and the US to overthrow the state. The report’s existence and authenticity were never substantiated, and it was widely dismissed as a fabrication designed to justify Gordhan’s removal and facilitate a cabinet reshuffle. The Democratic Alliance called for an official investigation into whether this fake report had influenced Zuma’s decision.

In December 2021, journalist Thabo Makwakwa received a purported State Security Agency (SSA) report alleging that the United States had infiltrated the ANC’s leadership to the point of influencing or subverting national policy. 

The report was used to justify a High Court gag order preventing publication, ostensibly for reasons of national security. However, the Supreme Court of Appeal later ruled that the classification of the report as “secret” was unjustified and that its suppression served the political interests of the ANC, not the country. The court’s decision exposed how the SSA’s mechanisms were misused to fight internal ANC battles and highlighted the blurred lines between party and state.

The South African Revenue Service (SARS) was gutted by a series of disinformation campaigns and fake intelligence reports, particularly during the so-called state capture era. Investigative journalist Caryn Dolley describes SARS as “the poster child for state capture,” noting how disinformation and smear campaigns destroyed reputations and hollowed out the institution. Crime Intelligence was similarly targeted, with fabricated reports used to justify purges and protect vested interests.

There have also been instances where fake intelligence reports were used to push false claims of judicial corruption. Political figures like Bantu Holomisa, Julius Malema, and former Public Protector Busisiwe Mkhwebane have been accused of leveraging such reports to undermine the judiciary’s credibility. These tactics not only damage individual reputations but also erode public trust in key democratic institutions.

Another example is the “enemy of the state” dossier targeting the National Union of Metalworkers of South Africa (NUMSA). This fake intelligence report surfaced during a period of intense labour and political contestation, aiming to discredit NUMSA leaders and justify state surveillance or action against them. The report was later exposed as baseless, but not before it had caused significant disruption within the union and the broader labour movement.

The Supreme Court of Appeal’s rulings and investigative journalism have repeatedly shown how the SSA has been weaponised to serve the interests of particular ANC factions. The agency’s resources and credibility have been compromised by their use in intra-party feuds, often with little regard for legality or national interest.

Shivambu’s claim that a fake intelligence report was used to justify his removal fits seamlessly into this established pattern. His experience reflects the broader reality of intelligence being weaponised in the service of political factionalism. The implications of his allegations are profound: they highlight the persistent challenge of verifying intelligence in a context where its very existence is often shrouded in secrecy, and where the mere mention of a “report” can be enough to destroy reputations and careers.

Why Intelligence Is So Easily Weaponised

South Africa’s intelligence community has its roots in the clandestine operations of both the apartheid regime and the liberation movements. The skills, networks, and mindsets developed during those years did not simply disappear with the advent of democracy. Instead, they were repurposed, sometimes for noble ends, but often for the pursuit of personal or factional power.

The ANC, as the dominant political force, has long been riven by internal divisions. Intelligence operatives and their reports are frequently drawn into these battles, not in the service of national security, but to gather dirt on rivals, discredit them, and sway internal elections. This dynamic has only intensified as the stakes have grown, with control of the state and its resources hanging in the balance.

The Zuma Factor

Jacob Zuma’s career is inextricably linked with the intelligence world. As a former head of intelligence for the ANC in exile, Zuma has always understood the power of information and disinformation. His rise to power and his presidency were marked by a proliferation of intelligence-related scandals, from the so-called “spy tapes” to the endless stream of dossiers implicating his enemies in plots, corruption, or treason. 

Zuma’s embedded relationship with intelligence operatives, both official and shadowy, allows him to cultivate an aura of omniscience and threat: his opponents could never be sure what he knows, what he was willing to fabricate, or how far he would go to protect himself.

The Mechanics of Fake Intelligence Reports

Fake intelligence reports are typically crafted by individuals or groups with access to the language, format, and networks of the intelligence community. They are then leaked, sometimes anonymously, sometimes through willing intermediaries, to the media, party structures, or law enforcement agencies. The reports are rarely subjected to rigorous verification; their power lies in their ability to sow doubt and suspicion, not in their factual accuracy.

Once in circulation, these reports serve multiple functions, discrediting political opponents by associating them with scandal or criminality. They then justify suspensions, removals, or investigations under the guise of “due diligence” creating an atmosphere of fear and mistrust, deterring would-be challengers from stepping out of line.

The media, often hungry for scoops and exclusives, can become unwitting amplifiers of these reports. Even when journalists are sceptical, the mere existence of a “leaked intelligence report” is newsworthy, and the damage to reputations is often irreversible, regardless of subsequent denials or debunking.

The Consequences: Paranoia, Anarchy, and Mistrust

The proliferation of fake intelligence reports has fostered a pervasive culture of paranoia and mistrust, particularly around Zuma and his allies. Political actors operate in an environment where they are constantly looking over their shoulders, unsure of who might be gathering information on them or what might appear in the next “leaked” dossier. This atmosphere is corrosive, undermining solidarity and trust within political parties and government institutions alike.

The weaponisation of intelligence has contributed to political anarchy and deepened factionalism within the ANC and the broader political system. Decisions are made not on the basis of policy or principle, but in response to the latest scandal or rumour. Governance suffers as leaders focus on survival rather than service, and the machinery of the state is bent to the will of those who control the flow of (dis)information.

Perhaps most damagingly, this culture undermines democratic processes and institutions. When intelligence is used as a tool of political warfare, rather than for the protection of the nation, the line between state and party is blurred, and the rights of citizens, especially those who dare to dissent, are placed at risk.

Why Does This Culture Persist?

South Africa’s intelligence services remain vulnerable to political interference. Oversight mechanisms are weak, and the distinction between intelligence gathering for national security and for political purposes is often ignored in practice.

Few, if any, of those responsible for producing or disseminating fake intelligence reports are ever held to account. The ephemeral nature of these documents and the secrecy that surrounds them make it difficult to trace responsibility or impose consequences.

For those in power, the ability to instill fear and uncertainty is a potent weapon. By keeping rivals off-balance and the public confused, leaders like Zuma have been able to maintain control even in the face of scandal and opposition.

Zuma’s Legacy: Intelligence as a Source of Power and Control

Jacob Zuma’s presidency did not invent the use of intelligence as a political tool, but it did elevate it to an art form. By cultivating relationships with both official intelligence operatives and shadowy figures, Zuma created an environment where information real or fabricated, became the currency of power. 

His willingness to deploy intelligence innuendo, to hint at plots and conspiracies, and to use reports (however dubious) as justification for political action has left a lasting mark on South African politics.

This legacy persists today, as evidenced by the Shivambu revelations. The culture of paranoia, anarchy, and mistrust that surrounds Zuma is not merely a by-product of his leadership style; it is a deliberate strategy, designed to keep opponents guessing and to ensure that no one feels entirely secure.

Breaking the Cycle: What Needs to Change

If South Africa is to move beyond this toxic culture, several steps are necessary:

Strengthen Oversight: Robust, independent oversight of the intelligence services is essential to prevent political abuse.

Promote Transparency: Mechanisms for verifying and debunking intelligence reports must be strengthened, and the public should be educated about the dangers of disinformation.

Hold Perpetrators Accountable: Those who produce, disseminate, or act on fake intelligence reports must face consequences, both legal and political.

Rebuild Trust: Political leaders must commit to rebuilding trust within parties and institutions, prioritising governance over factional warfare.

The use of fake intelligence reports as tools of political warfare has become a defining feature of South Africa’s post-apartheid political landscape, with Jacob Zuma’s tenure providing both the template and the justification for this strategy. 

The consequences: paranoia, anarchy, and mistrust are deeply damaging, not only to individual careers but to the health of our democracy itself. 

Floyd Shivambu’s recent allegations are a reminder that, until this culture is confronted and dismantled, the spectre of intelligence manipulation will continue to haunt our politics, undermining the very foundations of accountability and trust upon which our future depends.

(Dube is a Political Economist, Businessman, and Social Commentator on UkhoziFM and various newspapers. Read more of his articles here: www. ncodube.blog)